Archive
-
Working Paper
Working PaperHitler and the German Coal Industrialists: Passing the Keys to A Kingdom
Nov 2024
The history of the political relations between Hitler and the NSDAP leadership and the German “coal industrialists” from 1926 to 1933
-
Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesMeasuring the Impact of Campaign Finance on Congressional Voting: A Machine Learning Approach
Mar 2022
Using aggregate campaign finance data as well as a Transformer based text embedding model we can predict roll call votes for legislation in the US Congress with more than 90% accuracy.
-
Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesThe Knife Edge Election of 2020: American Politics Between Washington, Kabul, and Weimar
Nov 2021
Covid and BLM protests were key to Biden’s victory
-
Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesLocal David Versus Global Goliath: Populist Parties and the Decline of Progressive Politics in Italy
Jan 2021
This paper analyzes the role of local spending, particularly on social welfare, and local inequality as factors in the Italian political crisis following the adoption in 2011 of more radical national austerity measures.
-
Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesPredicting United States Policy Outcomes with Random Forests
Nov 2020
In this paper we analyze the Gilens dataset using the complementary tools of Random Forest classifiers (RFs), from Machine Learning.
-
Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesShadow Lobbyists
Oct 2020
Unregistered lobbyists, including former members of Congress, are a key resource for lobbying firms
-
Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesVoting Rights, Deindustrialization, and Republican Ascendancy in the South
Sep 2020
How NAFTA led to GOP dominance of the American South
-
Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesHow Much Can the U.S. Congress Resist Political Money? A Quantitative Assessment
Apr 2020
The links between campaign contributions from the financial sector and switches to a pro-bank vote were direct and substantial