Finance

This paper discusses household debt as a long term phenomenon that influences economies beyond crises.1 In other words, rather than look at how household indebtedness can lead to crises, I will focus on its surprising persistence at very high levels, and its interactions along the way with other key variables, such as public policies and spending. The first section describes some stylized facts and the final section explores the macroeconomic consequences.

The debt-growth relationship is complex, varying across countries and being affected by global factors. While there is no simple universal threshold above which debt-to-GDP becomes a significant brake on growth, based on data from the last four decades we show that high and rising public debt burdens slow down growth in the long term.

This paper discusses what we have learned about the debt build-up in advanced societies over the past century. It shows that the extraordinary growth of aggregate debt in the past century was driven by the private sector.

What role does debt play in triggering economic crises, and is the problem principally public or private sector debt?

What Do Citations Actually Measure in Economics and How Should Economic Journals and Department Review Committees Use This Data? 

Can a monetary union without true banking and fiscal union be saved? What remains of the hopes that animated the Treaty of Rome?

This paper aims to assess such tendency to return to a supply-determined potential output, independent of aggregate demand, after episodes of demand expansion.

Preliminary draft prepared for INET conference session “A Decade of Stagnation. Why?”

What explains the slow recovery from the financial crisis and great recession in so much of the world?

INET gathered hundreds of new economic thinkers in Edinburgh to discuss the past, present, and future of the economics profession.

The Festival for New Economic Thinking is a collaborative initiative of several organizations, and aims to bring together those who seek to improve how economics is taught, studied and practiced. 

Financial Globalization and its Cryptocurrency Discontents

Why it’s time to repeal the debt ceiling and replace it with a ‘truth in borrowing’ act

Adair Turner in conversation with Nasser Munjee, moderated by David Webb