Macroeconomics
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Inflation Narratives and Their Consequences
Jul 31, 2023
On the reflexive relationship between inflation and inflation narratives
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Central Banks and Income Distribution: Does the Taylor Rule Push Up Rentier Incomes?
Jul 27, 2023
The effect of monetary policy on the functional distribution of income
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Working Paper
Is “Inflation First” Really “Rentiers First”? The Taylor Rule and Rentier Income in Industrialized Countries
Jul 2023
Central banks strongly favored rentier incomes in their reaction functions
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Oil Prices, Oil Profits, Speculation, and Inflation
Jun 26, 2023
The role of speculation in the crude oil market in the increase in the WTI crude oil price.
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Working Paper
Betting on Black Gold: Oil Speculation and U.S. Inflation (2020-2022)
Jun 2023
Were the sharp increases in prices during 2020-2022 due to fundamental shifts in supply and demand or are they attributable to excessive market speculation?
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Profit Inflation and Markups Once Again
Jun 15, 2023
Inflation and corporate profits, a further discussion, responding to Servaas Storm
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Profit Inflation Is Real
Jun 15, 2023
Inflation and corporate profits, a further discussion
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Profit-Led Inflation Redefined: Response to Nikiforos and Grothe
Jun 6, 2023
Besides changes in institutions and social norms, other phenomena could explain a rise in the profit share.
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Markups, Profit Shares, and Cost-Push-Profit-Led Inflation
Jun 6, 2023
To what extent is profit-led inflation compatible with what we know about the price-setting behavior of firms and income distribution?
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Merger Tests in Practice: A Critical Analysis
May 8, 2023
Current tests for mergers are in practice deeply flawed.
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Working Paper
The Perils of Antitrust Econometrics: Unrealistic Engel Curves, Inadequate Data, and Aggregation Bias
May 2023
Antitrust econometrics relies on often-implausible assumptions
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Emerging Markets and the Balance of Payments: Challenges to Growth and Sustainability
Mar 13, 2023
A model that captures key vulnerabilities and structural weaknesses of developing countries’ trade and production structures.
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Working Paper
Current External Challenges to the Economic Expansion of Emerging Markets
Mar 2023
A Balance-of-Payments Constrained Growth Perspective
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The Quasi-Inflation of 2021-2022: A Case of Bad Analysis and Worse Response
Feb 2, 2023
Why the conventional tools of the Phillips Curve, NAIRU, potential output, and money-supply growth are useless
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The Rise of the Global Dollar System
Jan 11, 2023
Why does the apparently prescient and correct “key currency” view remain an embattled minority view?