Macroeconomics
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Austerity Raises Covid Deaths
Mar 26, 2021
Mortality and economic data show how constraints to government spending and a skepticism of redistributive policies have made the pandemic far worse
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Working Paper Series
Lessons for the Age of Consequences: COVID-19 and the Macroeconomy
Mar 2021
Mortality and economic data show how constraints to government spending and a skepticism of redistributive policies have made the pandemic far worse
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The Economics of the 2021 American Rescue Plan
Mar 18, 2021
How to Get Relief to Those Who Need It. Gosia Glinska in Conversation with Anton Korinek
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The Full Case Against Ultra Low and Negative Interest Rates
Mar 17, 2021
There are several reasons why unprecedentedly low interest rates will probably not stimulate demand and may even threaten financial stability
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The Standard Economic Paradigm is Based on Bad Modeling
Mar 8, 2021
The New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) is a straightjacket for macroeconomics
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Working Paper Series
Cordon of Conformity: Why DSGE models Are Not the Future of Macroeconomics
Mar 2021
The New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) is a straightjacket for macroeconomics
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George Soros and Rob Johnson Endorse an Appeal to the EU: Build a Green, Fully Employed, Resilient Economy
Feb 17, 2021
Revival of failed austerity policies of the past is simply not an option
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Mainstream Economists Have Been Using a Misleading Inflation Model for 60 Years
Feb 8, 2021
Comment on Paul Krugman’s recent observations on US inflation
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The Future of Macroeconomics
Feb 1, 2021
Developments in the real economy have persistently challenged central tenets of older economic thinking, such as the supposed close connection between the money supply and inflation.
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Inflation, Import Prices, and the Labor Share
Jan 25, 2021
The Challenge to Bidenomics
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Working Paper Series
Inflation? It’s Import Prices and the Labor Share!
Jan 2021
Recognizing that inflation of the value of output and its costs of production must be equal, we focus on a cost-based macroeconomic structuralist approach in contrast to micro-oriented monetarist analysis.
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The American Rescue Act: Do Whatever It Takes
Jan 19, 2021
The economy is likely to be crippled for months and fiscal rescue on a large scale, once again, is very much necessary.
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Best of Mankiw: Errors and Tangles in the World's Best-Selling Economics Textbooks
Jan 3, 2021
On the occasion of the ASSA 2021 Virtual Annual Meeting (Jan. 3-5), Peter Bofinger presents a “10 Best of” Mankiw list
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An Effective Response to Europe’s Fiscal Paralysis
Nov 30, 2020
Individual EU member states ought to issue perpetual bonds
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Final Response to Andrew Smithers
Oct 5, 2020
Lance Taylor and Özlem Ömer respond to Andrew Smithers’s final comment on their working paper
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Final Comments on Lance Taylor’s “On the ‘Global Savings Glut”
Oct 5, 2020
The third and final round of response from Andrew Smithers on Lance Taylor’s INET working paper on the alleged “global savings glut.”
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The Future of Work | What is Technology? Accelerator, Enabler, or Displacer?
Webinarmoderated by Katya Klinova with Long Chen, Anton Korinek and John Van Reenen
Sep 29, 2020
Human societies have always coevolved with technology, but how can we think of technology? Is it an external force outside our control, or do we have a say in its direction, development and deployment?
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Research Webinar & Book Launch: Macroeconomic Inequality From Reagan to Trump
WebinarSep 18, 2020
A discussion with Lance Taylor and Özlem Ömer, authors of INET’s new book Macroeconomics Inequality from Reagan to Trump
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America’s Dire Inequality Demands a New Conceptual Framework. This Economist Has One.
Sep 10, 2020
In a new book from Cambridge University Press, Lance Taylor reveals that wage repression — far more than monopoly power, offshoring or technological change — is driving rising inequality.
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Comment on Lance Taylor’s “’Savings Glut’ Fables and International Trade Theory: An Autopsy”
Aug 24, 2020
Financial commentator Andrew Smithers responds to Lance Taylor’s INET working paper. You may also read Taylor’s response to Smithers’s comment here.
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Reply to Andrew Smithers
Aug 24, 2020
Lance Taylor responds to Andrew Smithers’s comment on his INET working paper, “Germany and China Have Savings Gluts, the USA Is a Sump: So What?”
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“Savings Glut” Fables and International Trade Theory: An Autopsy
Aug 11, 2020
A “global saving glut” was invented by Ben Bernanke in 2005 as a label for positive net lending (imports exceeding exports) to the American economy by the rest of the world. However, there is a more plausible explanation for the persistent trade imbalance between the US and its major trading partners.
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Working Paper
Germany and China Have Savings Gluts, the USA Is a Sump: So What?
Aug 2020
An alternative look at the “global savings glut”
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The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly About the Fed’s New Credit Allocation Policy
Jun 30, 2020
The Fed is taking an aggressive approach to put out the economic fires of the pandemic. But it needs to allow for flexibility as some business models irreparably change.
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The COVID-19 Bailout and its Financing Dilemmas
Jun 30, 2020
The speed and duration of COVID-19 economic recovery will depend on how the government will finance emergency programs.
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Profits from Job Losses Will Finance Government Borrowing for COVID-19 Bailouts
Jun 18, 2020
COVID has meant unemployment for the many and a corporate profit-fueled windfall for the few.
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What is Work?
Jun 10, 2020
What counts as work and what doesn’t?
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Corona Crisis and Eurobonds
May 26, 2020
The Calamity of Germany’s Distorted Perception of Italy
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Chile’s Outburst of Discontent
May 6, 2020
How the fear-of-the-new transformed a “miracle” into an aborted attempt at catching-up
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The Eurozone in Crisis
May 4, 2020
A Report From the Front Line
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Europe and the Need for Multilateralism
Apr 14, 2020
A call to action for a world economy in crisis
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Research & Policy Workshops
IMPORTANT: Due to growing concerns around the coronavirus, the INET Conference, as well as these workshops will be postponed.
YSI
WorkshopApr 13–15, 2020
IMPORTANT: Due to growing concerns around the coronavirus, the INET Conference, as well as these workshops will be postponed. Applicants will soon be provided further information.
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In Italy and Elsewhere, Expansionary Public Spending is Key to Recovery from Covid-19
Apr 7, 2020
Austerity policies will slow recovery and should be rejected
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CARES Will Care for Wall Street and Big Business, for Macroeconomic Balance Maybe Not So Much
Apr 6, 2020
Much historical commentary emphasizes how pandemics restructure long-standing social and political arrangements. The observation applies to macroeconomics as well.
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The EU’s Green Deal: Bismarck’s ‘What Is Possible’ versus Thunberg’s ‘What Is Imperative’ in the Age of Covid-19
Apr 1, 2020
What ails the EU Green Deal is exactly what troubles the Union in general — an absence of social democracy at work
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The COVID-19 Recession: Unprecedented Collapse and the Need for Macro Policy
Mar 26, 2020
Effective and quick federal policy response is critical to create conditions for a quick recovery.
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Covid-19 Hits the Dual Economy
Mar 26, 2020
Incomes Destroyed at the Bottom, Profits Supported at the Top
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Coronavirus Means Zero Hour for the European Union
Mar 16, 2020
If the European Central Bank does not jump to the aid of peripheral countries weakened by the pandemic, the Eurozone could collapse.
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A Money View of Keynes, Keynesians, and Post-Keynesians
Feb 4, 2020
The central bank today is not just the government’s bank, but also a bankers’ bank, a truly hybrid institution
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Working Paper Series
Payment vs. Funding: The Law of Reflux for Today
Feb 2020
The central bank today is not just the government’s bank, but also a bankers’ bank, a truly hybrid institution
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Demand-Side Secular Stagnation of Productivity Growth
Jan 30, 2020
Without new economic thinking, macro policy will retain its deflationary biases and secular stagnation remains the ‘normal’.
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Working Paper Series
The Secular Stagnation of Productivity Growth
Jan 2020
This paper argues that it is a mistake to dismiss secular demand stagnation as main cause of declining potential growth in the OECD.
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How The Troika Runs Europe
Jan 22, 2020
The European Commission, the European Central Bank, and the IMF are the continent’s austerity police
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Modeling the Financial System with a Corn Economy – “misleading and disastrous”
Jan 3, 2020
A critique of Mankiw’s Macroeconomics
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Years granted:
2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020
INET Taskforce in Macroeconomic Efficiency and Stability: Networks and Externalities
The INET Taskforce in Macroeconomic Efficiency and Stability, chaired by Professor Joseph Stiglitz, focuses on the inefficiencies and instabilities that arise from the interaction of agents and institutions operating in networks and from pervasive macro-economic externalities, as well as on the macroeconomic inconsistencies that may result from those interactions.
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Repo Madness: Fed Plumbing Gone Awry
Nov 26, 2019
Repeat after me: How much pipe should Fed plumbers lay if Fed plumbers like to lay pipe?
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The Stormy Birth of “Europe”
Nov 7, 2019
National States and Conflicting Economic Priorities in the Making of the European Monetary System
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Working Paper Series
The Political Economy of Europe Since 1945: A Kaleckian Perspective
Nov 2019
This paper analyzes the early stages of the formation of the Common Market.
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Working Paper Series
Europe 1957 to 1979: From the Common Market to the European Monetary System
Nov 2019
This essay deals with the contradictory dynamics that engulfed Europe from 1959 to 1979, the year of the launching of the European Monetary System.
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Working Paper Series
From the EMS to the EMU and...to China
Nov 2019
This essay deals with the EMS experience and its failure, with the Maastricht Treaty, and with the interregnum leading to the formation of the EMU in 1999.
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Not So Modern Monetary Theory
Oct 31, 2019
Policy hype but vintage fiscal economics from Godley, Lerner, and Keynes
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Working Paper Series
Synthetic MMT: Old Line Keynesianism with an Expansionary Twist
Oct 2019
Policy hype but vintage fiscal economics from Godley, Lerner, and Keynes
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Measuring Economic Democracy
Oct 9, 2019
GDP doesn’t tell the whole story—Robert McMaster explains the Economic Democracy Index
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Secular Stagnation: The Limits of Conventional Wisdom
Oct 1, 2019
Summers and Stansbury mark a dramatic shift from New Keynesian orthodoxy, but only make it halfway to understanding the demand-driven nature of stagnant growth
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Kalecki, Minsky, and “Old Keynesianism” Vs. “New Keynesianism” on the Effect of Monetary Policy
Sep 11, 2019
Mott walks us through answers many careful readers of Kalecki, Keynes, Steindl, and Minsky knew all along.
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Is it Really "Full Employment"? Margins for Expansion in the US Economy in the Middle of 2019
Sep 6, 2019
Many indicators say the US is close to full employment: Hours of work tell a different story.
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Central Banks, Secular Stagnation, and Loanable Funds
Sep 3, 2019
A Comment on Summers and Stansbury
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Summers and the Road to Damascus
Sep 3, 2019
Why Pushing on a String Has Never Worked
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Central Bankers, Inflation, and the Next Recession
Sep 3, 2019
Summers and Stansbury Get It Half Right
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Developing Asia Needs a New Economic Paradigm
Aug 13, 2019
Inadequate demand and climate change require a global green new deal
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Working Paper Series
Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects
Jul 2019
We adapt simple tools from computational linguistics to construct a new measure of political risk faced by individual US firms: the share of their quarterly earnings conference calls that they devote to political risks.
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The Myth of Expansionary Austerity
Jul 8, 2019
It was too good to be true: Another effort to vindicate austerity falls victim to flawed methodology.
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Working Paper Series
Expansionary Austerity and Reverse Causality: A Critique of the Conventional Approach
Jul 2019
It was too good to be true: Another effort to vindicate austerity falls victim to flawed methodology.
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A Brief History of Doom
Jun 26, 2019
Richard Vague and Rob Johnson discuss the role of excessive lending in causing financial crises throughout history
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Capitalism’s Great Reckoning
Jun 24, 2019
As the maladies of modern capitalism have multiplied, fundamental questions about the future of the world’s dominant economic model have become impossible to ignore. But in the absence of viable alternatives, the question is how to reform a system that is increasingly at odds with democracy.
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Non-bank lending and the credit cycle: what are the risks?
Jun 21, 2019 |
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Outlook Session: How much debt is too much?
Jun 21, 2019 |
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Expectations and Credit Cycles: What role for over-optimism of borrowers and lenders?
Jun 21, 2019 |
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Incentives and Credit Cycles: What’s driving risk taking in credit booms?
Jun 21, 2019 |
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Private Debt Booms and the Real Economy: Do the benefits outweigh the costs?
Jun 21, 2019 |
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Sectoral Credit and Financial Instability: Does the sectoral allocation matter for financial stability risks?
Jun 21, 2019 |
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How can we measure risk exposure of banks and credit markets?
Jun 21, 2019 |
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Is risk mispriced in credit booms, and if so, why?
Jun 21, 2019 |
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Are better capitalized banking systems safer?
Jun 21, 2019 |
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Credit Supply Shocks: Where do they come from, and what are their effects?
Jun 20, 2019 |
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Credit Booms and Crises: what do historical bank-level data tell us?
Jun 20, 2019 |
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Subprime Lending and the 2008 Crisis: Do we need a new narrative?
Jun 20, 2019 |
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Was the US Great Depression a “Credit Boom Gone Bust?”
Jun 20, 2019 |
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Could Household Debt Cause the Next Recession?
Jun 19, 2019
Steven Pressman says in the next few years, we could see rising interest rates bring about a recession
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Rates of Return on Everything: A New Database
Jun 4, 2019
Returns on wealth exceed growth for more countries, more years, and more dramatically than Piketty has found
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Modern Monetary Inevitabilities
May 31, 2019
For all the talk of Modern Monetary Theory representing a brave new frontier, it is easy to forget that the United States has gone down this road before, when the US Federal Reserve financed the war effort in the 1940s. Then, as now, the question is not about government debt, but about the debt’s purpose and justification.
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Report
Macroeconomic Management Meets the New Economy
May 2019
A report of the Commission on Global Economic Transformation’s subcommittee on Macroeconomics & Finance
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INET at the Trento Economics Festival
May 30, 2019
A collection of our research on populism, globalization and nationalism
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Why We Need New Measures of Potential Output—and What They Tell Us
May 16, 2019
Everyone is waking up to the fact that estimates of what is possible in the economy are way off: this paper explains why
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Working Paper Series
Demand-determined potential output: a revision and update of Okun’s original method
May 2019
Everyone is waking up to the fact that estimates of what is possible in the economy are way off: this paper explains why
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Why We Need Inclusive Prosperity
May 15, 2019
The implications of rising inequality are massive. Economists need to tackle it together.
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Lance Taylor on Growth, Distribution, and the Future of Capitalism
May 1, 2019
Lance Taylor, Emeritus Professor of Economics at The New School for Social Research, delivers the annual Heilbroner Memorial Lecture on the Future of Capitalism.
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Macroeconomic Stimulus à la MMT
Apr 30, 2019
Modern Monetary Theory is problematic. Launching large scale fiscal programs that rely on it would be skating on thin ice.
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How to Ruin a Country in Three Decades
Apr 10, 2019
Italy’s austerity-fueled crisis is a warning to the Eurozone
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Working Paper Series
Lost in Deflation
Apr 2019
Why Italy’s woes are a warning to the whole Eurozone
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The Natural Rate of Interest Is Anything But
Jan 28, 2019
Central bankers pursue a “neutral” rate that doesn’t exist
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Commission on Global Economic Transformation
Chaired by Nobel laureates Joseph Stiglitz and Michael Spence, INET has assembled a global team of leaders and scholars calling for new thinking & new rules for the world economy
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Mainstream Macroeconomics and Modern Monetary Theory: What Really Divides Them?
Sep 6, 2018
Despite disparate policy beliefs, MMT and orthodox macro rely on many of the same theoretical foundations
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Glasnost and Perestroika in Economics
Jul 25, 2018
James Galbraith says academic economics is in need of radical reform
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YSI @ STOREP Conference 2018
YSI
ConferenceJun 28–30, 2018
YSI is hosting sessions at the 2018 STOREP conference.
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We Can—And Must—Reform Capitalism
Jun 27, 2018
Fred Block says capitalism is not an unchanging monolith—which means we can make it better
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Making Sense of Globalization in the 21st Century
Jun 13, 2018
In a complex world, we’ll experience more “black swans”, and the things that standard economic models assumed away will matter much more.
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How Well Does Financial Regulation Work?
Mar 15, 2018
What 200 Years of Government Interventions in Financial Markets Can Tell Us
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INET Research in a Stressful Year
Feb 23, 2018
In the face of laissez-faire capitalism at home and resurgent nationalism across the globe, INET offers an innovative look at the causes of—and solutions for—the problems that ail a fissuring world economy.
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Financial Markets Have Taken Over the Economy. To Prevent Another Crisis, They Must Be Brought to Heel.
Feb 13, 2018
Banks have long had undue influence in society. But with the rapid expansion of a financial sector that transforms all debts and assets into tradable commodities, we are faced with something far worse: financial markets with an only abstract, inflated, and destabilizing relationship with the real economy. To prevent another crisis, finance must be domesticated and turned into a useful servant of society.